Thursday, November 6, 2008

PREVIEW: UFC 91

This event marks the return of Randy Couture who will defend his heavyweight title against Brock Lesnar in the main event.

The undercard is just as impressive. Let's first examine the main event and then explore the undercards.

Randy Couture vs Brock Lesnar
Couture (16 - 8) will be walking back into the ring after a 14 month break. Whether this will make him well rested or rusty has yet to be seen however since he has been training with Wonderlei Silva it would seem to keep him from being the ladder.

Couture has developed his own style of fighting. Drawing upon his years as a greco-roman wrestler he has impressive takedown ability, as well as takedown defense. In previous matches he has used his wrestling ability to mount opponents and submit them via ground and pound.

Experience and technique are definitely on Couture's side. He will be defensive in this match up and careful not to be caught by one of Lesnars haymakers. Couture will instead be throwing counter punches while he waits for an opportunity to take down Lesnar or reverse one of Lesnar's attempts.

Lesnar (2 - 1) has only been competing in MMA for a year. He has a strong wrestling background and not the WWE bullshit either. As a collegiate wrestler Lesnar was able to win the NCAA Championship and ended his amatuer career with a 106 - 5 record.

In MMA he has yet to really use his wrestling skills. Instead Lesnar relies on his size and speed to take advantage of his opponents. He often throws big haymakers and with a fist as big as his it has sent most of his opponents to the mat.

Count on Lesnar to use his speed against Couture. He will go for takedowns from the outside in between throwing haymakers.

My Pick: Randy Couture with a TKO (strikes) in the 3rd
Randy Couture's experience will let him capture the victory. Lesnar will rush in too much and attack wildly expecting his strength and speed to be too much for Couture. Couture will simply wait for one of Lesnar's mistakes and will capitalize on it just like Frank Mir did.

Kenny Florian vs Joe Stevenson
Florian (10 - 3) got a little screwed over. Ken Flo was the #1 contender for the lightweight championship. He should be facing BJ Penn for the belt. However Penn will be fighting George St. Pierre so as an MMA fan I can't really complain, although I gotta admit I feel bad for Florian.

Anyways Kenny Florian has some amazing elbows. This will be really helpful within clinches and since Stevenson is Jiu Jitsu practioner, Florian elbow strength will assist him when they grapple.

Stevenson (29 - 8) already had a title shots a few months ago against BJ Penn. Penn was able to open up a huge gash across Stevenson's forehead with an elbow during the first round. That gash made it hard for Stevenson to see since he had blood flowing down his face and Penn was able to submit Stevenson in a Rear Naked Choke hold during the second round.

Still Stevenson is a great Jiu Jitsu practioner. He has won 14 of his matches by submission. He is famous for using the Guillotine Choke and is referred to as a master of that move.

My Pick: Kenny Florian by decision
This is gonna be a close match. Florian's elbows may make the huge difference in the match up, probably stopping Stevenson from conducting any sort of submission. It can still go either way, but I'm going with Florian because I think he has something to prove; that he should be contending for the belt.

Gabriel Gonzaga vs Josh Hendricks
Gonzaga (10 - 3) is a monster. This man broke Couture's arm. I repeat this man broke Couture's arm! Gonzaga went for one of his signature kicks to the head and Couture used his forearm to block it. "Snap!" went Couture's arm.

If he doesn't submit or knock out his opponent he loses. None of Gonzaga's fights have ever gone to a decision which sounds really awesome. Obviously he has a great kick but he has excellent submission skills as well. He's pulled off some pretty complicated submissions (ie Americana and Triangle) and has competed against some of the best fighters the UFC has to offer

Hendricks (15 -4 ) has never fought in the UFC before so he will have a night to prove his worth.

He has won 10 of his fights by submission. He uses rear naked chokes quite frequently and sucessfully along with an occasional armbar and triangle choke.

My pick: Gabriel Gonzaga by maybe a KO (Head Kick), not really sure.
Gonzaga broke Couture's arm with a kick. He can probably break other bones too. While Hendricks definitly will put up a good fight I just have to go with the UFC veteran.

Nate Quarry vs Demian Maia
Quarry(10 - 2) was a show stopper. He won his first 3 UFC bouts with KOs in the first rounds. Then he fought Rich Franklin for the Middleweight title and was knocked out in the first. After that Quarry took a 2 year break from competition due to injuries but returned in '07 and has won 2 matches via decision.

Maia(8 - 0) is a second degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He is the 2007 ADCC Submission Wrestling World Champion and the 2005 runner up and has won the UFC Submission of the Night honors 3 times in a row. He could probably choke out Superman given the oppurtunity.

My pick: Demian Maia by Submission
I don't think Quarry has ever truly recovered from his injuries or at least not returned to his glorious form before his Franklin fight. Maia has too good of ground game for anyone not at 100%. Expect Quarry to tap in the first or second round.


So there you go. Those are my picks for the nights. What do you think? Do you disagree or agree with any of my picks? Do you think I'm a complete idiot? Well tell me why asshole.

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